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Fantasy town namer1/23/2024 They usually live in mountains, they usually have an affinity for mining, gems, and metalworking, and they usually have big beards and short statures. Dwarves come in many different forms, but they usually have traits in common. (Need a die roller?) Feel free to mix in Evil name elements, too – see above. This name generator will give you 10 random names for dwarves. (Need a die roller?) This table is constructed entirely from name elements actually used by Tolkien for places in the Shire. (Need a die roller?) Feel free to mix in Magical name elements, too – see above. (Need a die roller?)Įlvish Place Names Roll 1d, 1d. A collection of random generators for Dungeons & Dragons and other tabletop role-playing games. (Need a die roller?) Throwing in a bit of Orcish can help, too – see below.Ī Few Bits and Pieces for “Magical” Realms Roll 1d (need a die roller?) and then combine with the other tables to suit.ĭwarven Place Names Roll 1d, 1d. Quasi-historical names are generated using patterns derived from real names of a particular region and period, but are otherwise fictional. Generic Fantasy Realms -Suffixes Roll 1d, 1d. Generic Fantasy Realms – Prefixes and Central Elements Roll 1d, 1d. If using a name, always doublecheck its spelling and usage in its native language if wanting to use it in the real world.
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Edwin mccain setlist1/22/2024 McCain's next album, Lost in America, was released on April 11, 2006, on Vanguard Records. This song, available for a 99-cent download on iTunes, gives all profits to the relief of the hurricane victims that year. In 2005, McCain released a single, "Hold Out a Hand," co-written and performed with singer/songwriter Maia Sharp. It was his first live concert DVD, recorded at The House of Blues in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. Little things like that help." In late 2004 McCain released his second DVD, Tinsel and Tap Shoes. For example, the other day the hotel was five miles away from the club where I was performing, so once we got to the club and got sound checked I threw on my running clothes, then ran back to the hotel. One of the things that comes in handy depends on how far away the hotel is from the venue. In an interview in the August 2004 issue of Runner's World, McCain said of training on the road: "You just pick your spots. Later that year, McCain made time in his tour schedule to run the 35th annual New York City Marathon. Mid-2004 saw the arrival of his first studio album in three years, titled Scream & Whisper, which was released on another indie label, DRT Entertainment. In a May 2003 interview with Billboard, McCain noted, "The whole package is sort of saying, 'I'm back doing what I started doing.'" About the same time, the musician also hosted "Inside Music With Edwin McCain", a syndicated show on the Sirius radio network. The album, coupled with McCain's first DVD, Mile Marker: Songs and Stories from the Acoustic Highway (2002) – which consisted of interviews, live performances and other material – served as a thank-you to longtime followers. In early 2003 he released a collection of acoustic versions of old and new songs called The Austin Sessions via ATC Records, a Nashville-based independent record label (at which McCain was the first artist signed following its creation in 2001.) Sessions, recorded in roughly 20 days, punctuated McCain's major-label departure with an intentionally stripped-down sound and offered some fan favorites from his early days of touring, including Dire Straits' "Romeo and Juliet". Having fulfilled his four-album contract, McCain split from Lava/Atlantic at the end of 2001. "I Could Not Ask For More" was also featured on the soundtrack for the 1999 film Message in a Bottle. Summer of 1999 marked the arrival of McCain's third album, Messenger, which included a second Top 40 hit, the Diane Warren-penned "I Could Not Ask For More." Produced by Matt Serletic ( Matchbox Twenty, Collective Soul) and Noel Golden, Messenger was recorded at Tree Sound Studios and Southern Tracks in Atlanta as well as Record Plant Studios in Los Angeles. It was also featured in the 2000 drama television show, Higher Ground, as well as the 2004 teen flick, A Cinderella Story. This song also is featured on the charitable album, Live in the X Lounge, along with a live version of "Solitude". His second album, Misguided Roses, spawned " I'll Be", a major hit single in 1998. In 1994, he recorded his first major-label album, Honor Among Thieves under the Lava Records imprint ( Matchbox Twenty, Kid Rock, Beth Hart, and Jewel). Longtime touring friends with Hootie and the Blowfish, the Edwin McCain band signed with the same label, Atlantic Records. McCain graduated from Christ Church Episcopal School in Greenville, South Carolina, and briefly attended both the College of Charleston and Coastal Carolina University. McCain has released eleven albums, with his first two being released independently. His songs " I'll Be" (1998) and " I Could Not Ask for More" (1999) were radio top-40 hits in the U.S., and five of his albums have reached the Billboard 200. Edwin Cole McCain (born January 20, 1970) is an American singer-songwriter and guitarist.
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Parler data breach 20211/22/2024 IKEA Canada has reportedly submitted a breach report to the Office of the Privacy Commissioner of Canada (OPC). As per the data available online, the CC and BCC blunder that occurred while emailing led to the leak of contact details of US celebrities like Ivanka Trump and. The water supply system software was hacked. The hackers attacked the computer system of Florida’s water facility which treats water for 15000 people living near Tampa. It also said that IKEA Family loyalty program numbers belonging to customers may have also been visible. February 8: One of the severe data breaches that took place in February 2021 compromised the health of thousands of people due to water contamination. In a letter sent to affected customers, IKEA Canada said that compromised data included customer names, email addresses, phone numbers and postal codes. “We have also reviewed our internal processes and reminded our co-workers of their obligation to protect customer information.” (Photo: TapTheForwardAssist via Wikipedia/CC) A security researcher based in Vienna led a fast-paced, crowdsourced effort to archive. “While we can’t speculate as to why the search was made, we can share that we have taken actions to remedy this situation,” Ikea Canada PR leader Kristin Newbigging said. “No action is required by our customers.” We have also reviewed and updated internal processes to prevent such incidents in the future,” the statement read. To say we are disappointed and frustrated that this happened is an understatement. “At IKEA the security of our customers’ private information is of utmost importance and we have proactively notified the Office of the Privacy Commissioner of Canada about this incident, as well as any applicable customers. Fortunately, the breach did not expose any customer financial information, credit card information, debit or other payment information but, like so many breaches before, some SSN, name, address, date of birth and driver’s license/ID information was compromised. The Web services company Epik, which has hosted websites that promote QAnon theorists and other extremists, was hacked. IKEA revealed that no financial or banking information was involved in the breach. 79 described the LinkedIn data breach by massive API scraping in 2021. In a statement, the furniture retailer said that some of its customers’ personal information appeared in the results of a “generic search” performed by a co-worker at IKEA Canada between March 1-3 using IKEA’s customer database. In a further step, the attackers uncovered credentials due to insufcient security measures. IKEA says that it has notified Canada’s privacy watchdog following a large data breach involving the personal information of approximately 95,000 customers.
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Macro recorder1/22/2024 xlsm files), but thats just one example of an automation script that speeds up repetitive tasks. When you mention a macro recorder, most people think of a Microsoft Word or Microsoft Excel macro (saved as. Web Automation Macro Recorder is also a Web recorder to automate any action in a browser. VBA for Excel Lesson 7: The Excel Macro Recorder One of the tools that makes the programming environment in Excel unique is the Excel Macro Recorder. By using Windows scheduler, you have one. We believe, that you dont need another background program or service occupying extra memory and consuming CPU power while the Windows scheduler is running anyway. Barcode / QR Code Macro Recorder can read barcode and QR code data for your automation projects. Macro Recorder can utilize the 'task-scheduler' built into Microsoft Windows in combination with our productivity solution PhraseExpress. The macro recorder works only in Calc and Writer. Macro recording is an automation process that allows you to record mouse clicks and keystrokes from the screen to create a script. Macro Recorder is your Windows/Mac desktop automation software and sets your computer on autopilot to repeat tasks infinitely. A opo bsica do programa permite que voc registre todos os movimentos e cliques de seu mouse com apenas um simples clique. Selections are recorded only if they are done by using the keyboard (cursor traveling), but not when the mouse is used. Macro Recorder uma ferramenta que permite que voc registre todos os movimentos de seu mouse para depois os reproduzir e criar padres (ou macros) que desempenham todo o tipo de aes de rotina. For example, changes made in the Options dialog, macro organizer, customizing. Do not use Basic keywords as a name.Īctions carried out in another window than where the recorder was started are not recorded.Īctions that are not related to the document contents are not recorded. The activities are arranged based on the. Macro Recorder can simulate clicks of the left, right, middle and X1/X2 buttons. UiPaths macro-recorder allows you to record mouse events and keyboard activities to generate automation scripts. Macro Recorder can loop through sections defined by custom jump labels. Macro Recorder waits for program launches and restore window position & size. Visual overlays show the actual mouse paths. Mouse macro editor improved, 'click' & ''right-click artificial commands. Macro Recorder can pause a macro until a pixel has a specific color. If you want the macro to be saved into a new library or module, click the New Library or New Module button and enter a name for the library or module.Įnter a name for the new macro in the Macro name text box. New feature - setting mouse coordinates 'relative to current mouse position' and recording mouse offsets instead of actual coordinates. To save the macro, first select the object where you want the macro to be saved in the Save macro in list box. These steps can include typing text or numbers, clicking cells or commands on the ribbon or on menus, formatting cells, rows, or columns, or even importing data from an external source, say, Microsoft Access. If you want to abort the recording without saving a macro, click the Close button of the Recording dialog. When you record a macro, the macro recorder records all the steps in Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) code. All you have to do is record a specific task once. The Macro Recorder will record keystrokes, mouse events and window. The Macro dialog appears, in which you can save and run the macro. The Macro Recorder, a very useful tool included in Excel VBA, records every task you perform with Excel. Simple Macro Recorder allows you to record a sequence of events to create a Windows macro. Press the Escape key to deselect an object, as the macro recorder currently does not record this action by mouse click. The built-in macro editor allows you to review your recording and edit the actions. Perform the actions you want to be recorded in the document. The macro recorder accurately records your mouse movements and clicks. You see the small Recording dialog with just one button called Stop Recording. If the image is not binary, abort if ( ! is ( " binary " )) // create the panel newImage ( " Warhol'ized " + getTitle (), " RGB white ", ( w + 1 ) * columns + 1, ( h + 1 ) * rows + 1, 1 ) result = getImageID () // for speed, and to minimize user interference, start the batch mode setBatchMode ( true ) selectImage ( orig ) run ( " Duplicate.If Tools - Macros - Record Macro menu item is missing, make sure that macro recording feature is enabled in LibreOffice - Preferences Tools - Options - LibreOffice - Advanced.
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Filmage screen pro1/22/2024 Or you can directly contact us to confirm more details like your devices and discount. Our sales representative will contact you within 24 hours. However, if you use PayPal and other payment methods to purchase directly from our official website, even if you only buy one copy, you can also enjoy the education discount. 3. VPP Via PayPal: According to the regulations of Apple App Store, you need to purchase more than 20 apps to apply for the education discount. If you want the application removal on the Mac can be faster, easier and more. Filmage Screen Mac for VPP, please click Here. The suite of products includes: Filmage Editor, a professional and easy-to-use video editing software for Mac Filmage Screen, a powerful screen recorder for Mac Filmage Converter, an excellent. More effective option remove Filmage Screen with a professional uninstaller. VPP for Filmage Screen Mac on AppStore: There are some discounts for VPP. If you buy 1-19 units permanent licenses, it will be original price If you buy 20+ units, there will be 50% off for you. 29. Filmage Editor New Filmage Screen Filmage Converter Filmage Player Store. Filmage Screen Pro is a professional and complete video toolbox for capturing screen, recording audio, editing video, and converting video formats on your macOS devices. By using a mobile device management solution with VPP, distributing and installing applications can be made automatic. Filmage Screen is an all-in-one screen recording and video editing software, allowing you to make videos amazing. How to record screen on your Mac with Filmage Editor Read this article and find a quick solution. This makes managing application licenses easy and effortless. Filmage Screen Screen Recorder + Audio Recorder + Video Editor + Video Format Converter + Video Player + GIF Maker + Media Management Filmage Screen Recorder is an all-in-one screen & audio recording and video editing software, with it you can. Schools and organizations can buy multiple application licenses at once from the VPP store and share these applications remotely to selected devices. Download Filmage Screen Pro - Recorder and enjoy it on your iPhone, iPad, and iPod touch. A professional video recording and editing software that integrates the best screen recording, professional video editing, fast video format conversion. It includes the options to record your Mac at retina resolution, group video components and settings, and add background audio to the recorded footage. What is VPP? VPP, Volume Purchase Program, is Apple and Windows' volume store for schools and organizations. Not only can ScreenFlow record screen activities, but also ScreenFlow can help you to edit your recording. You can add texts, graphics, subtitle effects, music, or voiceover.įilmage Screen has the ability to convert video files into MP4/Apple ProRes/MOV/3GP/VOB and over 500 other formats, and to transforming multiple tasks simultaneously with 30x faster without losing quality.ĭrag your video file into Filmage Screen, 500 supported video formats can be quickly displayed.Filmage Screen supports Volume Purchase Program(VPP) for schools and organizations. Also, your iPad/iPhone can be mirror via AirPlay or USB connection by Filmage Screen.įilmage Screen is able to enhance videos with full-feature editing tools. A Powerful Screen Recorder & Video Editor For MacFilmage Screen is a powerful all-in-one video toolbox, with which you can record HD video, mirror iOS screen, edit video, make animated GIFs, convert video and do more on your Mac.ĭo you like recording vlogs? Do you like making beautiful videos to express yourself? If you want to get in touch with a video editor, Filmage Screen will absolutely full fill your demands.įilmage Screen can record your screen with sound in 1080P/4K resolution, Capture full screen, target window, or custom recording area, making fantastic course, product demo, or gameplay tricks.
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Gravity feeder for dogs1/22/2024 Below, we’ve rounded up a selection of the best ones out there, recommended by vets and other animal experts. They’re no replacement for your love and care (Fox says even with an automatic feeder and water fountain, you should never leave cats alone for more than 24 hours or dogs - that don’t need to be walked outside - for more than 12 hours), these devices make life a little easier when you’re stuck at work late. Like feeders, water fountains keep a steam of running water flowing all day and encourage pets to stay hydrated. Gravity feeders work by using a weighted base that prevents the food from spilling, while the food is gravity-fed into the. Carly Fox, a staff doctor at Animal Medical Center. Yes, gravity feeders are great for dogs and their pet parents Gravity feeders are a great way to avoid the disappointment your dog feels when they see an empty bowl and avoid having to refill the bowl multiple times a day. “They save a lot of people a lot of time and worry because it allows them to live a little bit more freely,” says veterinarian Dr. Automatic Dog Cat Feeder and Water Dispenser Gravity Food Feeder and Waterer Set with Pet Food Bowl for Small Medium Dog Puppy Kitten, Large Capacity 1 Gallon x 2(Grey) 4.5 out of 5 stars 2,431 29.99 29. Automatic feeders, which dispense pre-portioned meals at designated times, can help lighten the load.īest for cats and small dogs (most feeders don’t have the capacity for the bigger portions and larger kibble size required for large dogs), automatic feeders are also useful for spacing meals out during the day if you have a pet with poor impulse control, or even maintaining individual pets’ diets in a multi-pet home. Maybe it’s your cat waking you up when she decides it’s breakfast time or your plane landing too late for you to give the dog dinner. If you’re a pet owner, your daily schedule revolves, to some degree, around your four-legged’s demands.
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Prey mooncrash review1/22/2024 Mooncrash does more than overcome the main game’s biggest inherent problem though. This means that players will eventually get to try out everything instead of pigeon-holing themselves into a single skill set. Instead they have five to work with, all of whom have their own skill trees to progress along. Players of Mooncrash aren’t limited to developing one single character over the course of twenty hours. It’s a masterful choice of scenario because it allows Mooncrash to side-step all of the constraints that hold the main Prey game back. The player’s character is tasked with running through this simulation from the perspectives of multiple persons within it in the hope that they’ll be able to discover what happened at the real-life version of the base. The bulk of Prey: Mooncrash plays out in a corrupted simulation of an isolated research base on the Moon. Just releasing a story-centric expansion wouldn’t fix this problem, so Arkane Studios tried something different in the form of Prey: Mooncrash, an add-on that manages to put the full suite of Prey’s systems in the hands of its players. Focusing on one skill tree or another means that most players won’t experience most of what Prey has to offer since seeing more would mean committing to additional playthroughs. These limitations are good in that they encourage players to build a highly-specialized character, but there’s an inherent drawback to this approach. On the flipside, human abilities result in fewer encounters but also less power when they inevitably occur. Power carries consequences in Prey Choosing Typhon abilities grants plenty of raw power, but makes one into a target. Prey’s contribution to this kind of system is its addition of consequences into the mix. No matter what kind of problem the player is confronted with, they have all the tools they need to create their own solution to it. It’s an evolution of the emergent gameplay found in the likes of Deus Ex: Human Revolution and DisHonored. Prey’s story might not be the best, but its gameplay shouldn’t be missed. It’s not a perfect game, but its creators got enough right that one can’t help but feel like it deserves more attention. Mostly the moon shark, though.Prey (2017) is doomed to be a cult classic rather than the outright hit it deserves to be. My only issues with it are that, much like the base game, Mooncrash’s loading times are excessive, and the moon shark is an asshole. That’s about 20 hours more than I’d play most other games before becoming distracted with something else, and I’m still finding new stuff in it – new puzzles, new strategies, new ways for everything to go so very wrong, abruptly and spectacularly. I’ve clocked almost 25 hours with this DLC. If you can’t hack through a locked door, for example, you can morph into a book and slide through the bars on the window instead. Like Prey, the expansion is also about solving problems, and much of its fun is working out inventive solutions. Mooncrash is about repetition, failure, and – maybe – an occasional success. Without dropping spoilers, there’s a clever narrative conceit to accommodate this eccentric setup, and despite its uncompromising terms, the difficulty is mitigated by some persistent aspects – you keep your unlocks between resets, including installed neuromods, fabrication plans, and chipsets, and other paraphernalia, so you can gear up before trying again.
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Graphic design jobs austin tx1/22/2024 We found one Graphic Design courses with prices ranging from $11,995 and class duration ranging from 24 weeks. UT Austin located at 2405 Robert Dedman Dr in Austin, TX.We found eight Graphic Design courses with prices ranging from $250 to $16,450 and class duration ranging from 6 hours to 12 weeks. General Assembly located at 600 Congress Ave in Austin, TX.If you prefer to learn Graphic Design face-to-face with your instructor, you have five schools to choose from in the Austin area: In Austin, you can choose to attend Graphic Design courses in-person or live online. When choosing a graphic design bootcamp or certificate program, consider your career goals, check for prerequisites, and explore financing options and additional perks such as one-on-one mentoring.Lumenbrite and Noble Desktop offer courses that range from two days to six hours. Shorter graphic design classes in Austin are a great option for those who want to learn specific tools or concepts.Noble Desktop offers comprehensive certificate programs that cover Adobe InDesign, Photoshop, Illustrator, Adobe XD, and UX Design. Virtual graphic design bootcamps offer the convenience of online learning and live, interactive instruction.In-person graphic design bootcamps in Austin are available through General Assembly, UT Austin Boot Camps, and ONLC Training Centers.Salaries in the Austin area for graphic design positions are higher than the national average, with Graphic Designers earning around $50,000 per year, Designers earning around $75,000 per year, and UI Designers earning as much as $95,000 per year.Austin offers numerous career opportunities for graphic design bootcamp graduates, including positions such as Graphic Designer, Digital Designer, Motion Graphics Designer, and Animator.With a wide range of career opportunities available and salaries that exceed the national average, a graphic design bootcamp is the perfect way to launch your creative career. "Great leadership, amazing coworkers, excellent benefits" "Amazing flexibility and benefits" "Best company I have ever worked for" "Driving innovation aggressively in the last few years" "Great Workplace" "Best place to work"Ĭurrent Employee - Senior User Experience Designer in San Jose, CAĬurrent Employee - Network Security Consultant in Trenton, ILĬurrent Employee - Senior Software Engineer in San Jose, CAĬurrent Employee - Technical Consulting Engineer, BrusselsĬurrent Employee - Customer Success Manager in London, EnglandIf you're looking to start a career as a Digital Designer, Visual Designer, or UI Designer in Austin, a graphic design bootcamp can provide you with the skills and knowledge you need to succeed. I have been working at Cisco Systems full-time for more than a year. I have been working at Cisco Systems full-time for more than 3 years. I have been working at Cisco Systems full-time for more than 10 years. "Cisco "Get's it!" when it comes to people and technology" "Love working with great people and products" "Technical Leader in Cisco Service Provider, India" "Definitely recommended" "Great company, and work culture" "Great company and great to be a part of Cisco’s transformation to recurring revenueĬurrent Employee - Principal Engineer in San Jose, CAĬurrent Employee - Technical Leader in BangaloreĬurrent Employee - Senior Software Engineer, London, EnglandĬurrent Employee - Cloud Solution Architect in San Jose, CAĬurrent Employee - Customer Experience Renewal Manager in Austin, TX Cisco bears no responsibility and cannot be held liable for any claims, damages, expenses, or other inconvenience resulting from or in any way connected to recruiting scams. If you are the target of a recruiting scam, consider filing a report with your local law enforcement authorities. If you have been requested to apply for a role or have received an offer from sites or channels other than above mentioned, please do not provide any personal identifying information, including your Social Security or other personal identifying number, birth certificate, banking information, driver's license, or passport. All formal applications status can be viewed through, with all offers coming from Cisco Recruiting mailer with directions to access via a secure portal. be conducted across email, phone, or WebExĬisco will never make a job offer without conducting an interview process or ask candidates for payments in any way.originate from a Cisco email address, and.be in direct response to an application you have submitted through the company jobs site.Please be advised that any communication from Cisco recruiters about careers will: To ensure that we hire the best talent in the right way, we follow a strict hiring process, and recently, Cisco has been made aware of fraudulent recruiters claiming to be from the company.
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Especially an organization that doesn't take any responsibility for the poorly ran facility. I do not even know what the points equivocate out to dollar wise and this was after I made it a big deal also why would I EVER stay at an IHG hotel again. After talking to corporate on the phone about the situation and all the experiences for an hour the gentleman had offered me points to try and rectify the situation. I was offered free parking but in my opinion it's just the principal behind it and it was truly just disgusting. This is not the first bad experience here. I also had told them I'd be making it very known about the disgusting conditions of this hotel and the pure disrespect I was shown. Nevertheless, I did not appreciate being talked down to on the voicemail that was left for me and I was sure to let them know that. Also find it hard to believe it was rust when there was splatters and hair throughout the tub not on the metal part of the shower drain but on the tub itself. As somebody who has ran a real estate investment company for most of my life I certainly find it hard to believe this is rust or that it would not be addressed immediately if it was. I believed it was blood but I was told by a manager through a phone call it was rust. Considering the extreme measures people have gone to with Covid I would have thought the hotel would take pride in cleanliness or take responsibility for the pure negligence of cleaning the bathroom. You'd believe Walnut Creek would be held to a higher standard than what you'd expect out of a motel in Concord or Pittsburg. However, with this last encounter having ”rust” and hair throughout the shower tub, I was pretty much at my end dealing with this specific hotel/location. I thought that maybe these were just circumstantial situations to my first few stays. From the countless drug addicts seen staying at this hotel to watching a manager speak down and berate a new hire that had difficulty understanding English while checking in. Each time has somehow been increasingly worse of an experience. I have stayed at this hotel multiple times throughout the past three years going back and forth from the Bay Area for work.
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Dylan vox roanoke va1/22/2024 I can’t tell you what’s in Fed chair Jerome Powell’s heart, despite my past entreaties to the Fed media department. So, why did so many forecasters, and I, get this so wrong? They got it right, or at least more right than I did. Economists like Larry Summers, Olivier Blanchard, and the team at the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget were all warning about high inflation in early 2021. PIIE/Karen DynanĪt the same time, the error wasn’t inevitable. Predictions from this time in 2021 about the year’s inflation were far off the mark. “The models really led us astray,” Karen Dynan, a professor of economics at Harvard and former assistant secretary of the treasury for economic policy, told me, offering the below chart as further evidence. Put another way, the people you’d expect to have the surest handle on where inflation is going have admitted they got it wrong, too - and by a lot. Private forecasters surveyed in November said they expected 2.3 percent inflation by February, it was up to 3.1 percent. When I made my prediction, I cited the Federal Reserve’s policymakers, whose median forecast as of December 15, 2021, was for 2.7 percent inflation in 2022, per the core PCE measure (their favorite metric as well as mine).īut in March, the Fed updated its projection from 2.7 percent to 4.1 percent. A lot of people much better credentialed than me argued that inflation was going to cool down substantially in 2022. I responded that I stood by it, and if I was wrong, I would write a groveling follow-up piece. The US would be very lucky to keep inflation below 5 percent for the year at this point my prediction of 3 percent looks, three months later, ridiculous.Īt the time I wrote my July 2021 piece, “Don’t worry about inflation,” a prescient copy editor noted that this headline might look bad if I was wrong and inflation got increasingly worse. That’s my preferred metric, but data released on April 12 showed that the more widely publicized consumer price index grew by 8.5 percent compared to the year before, the highest rate in four decades. Well, in February, core inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index grew by 5.4 percent, and seems to still be heating up. This January 1, I predicted that average US inflation for the year would be below 3 percent. When fears arose last fall that rising inflation expectations - that is, people thinking inflation was going to be higher in the future - could in turn lead to more inflation now, I wrote a newsletter citing research that cast doubt on that theory. So I wrote a long piece last summer arguing that high inflation was unlikely in the 2020s. If there is, as most economists believe, some trade-off between inflation and unemployment, that means the Fed’s policies on inflation were unduly hawkish and kept many people out of work during the long recovery from the Great Recession. The Federal Reserve, which is tasked with managing the money supply to keep inflation steady and unemployment low, set a low inflation target of 2 percent a year, and kept falling short. In fact, our main inflation problem was that we had too little of it. I’d been covering economic policy since 2008, and in that whole time (in fact, in my whole lifetime!), the US had never had a problem with excess inflation. When prices began ticking up a little faster than normal early last year, I wasn’t overly concerned. Let’s get this out of the way first: I was wrong about inflation. |